How we keep score

Every pick is saved before kick-off with a digital fingerprint, a bit like a wax seal. If anyone changed it afterwards, the seal would break. Losses stay on the record next to wins.

Closing line value (CLV). If we take a price of 2.10 and it has dropped to 1.95 by kick-off, the market moved our way. Doing that again and again is one of the best early signs of real skill.

Brier score. A score for how close stated percentages are to what actually happens. Lower is better. Guessing 50% every time scores 0.25. We publish ours after 100 settled picks.